Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.887167 4.147172 4.424227 4.742874 5.101075 5.493481 5.958890
2025-10-19 3.511247 3.880339 4.297864 4.811050 5.433310 6.175042 7.144759
2025-10-26 3.258334 3.682969 4.182474 4.824884 5.647177 6.691879 8.169301
2025-11-02 3.033085 3.483504 4.028410 4.753073 5.719880 7.012236 8.964654
2025-11-09 2.830961 3.290245 3.857736 4.632137 5.699686 7.187208 9.564826
2025-11-16 2.682006 3.149844 3.738820 4.561446 5.730243 7.424326 10.287289
2025-11-23 2.594366 3.079646 3.702489 4.593915 5.902194 7.882893 11.452477
2025-11-30 2.511286 3.008792 3.658200 4.608051 6.043767 8.307914 12.653524
2025-12-07 2.382145 2.869634 3.512337 4.464661 5.930121 8.300557 13.038758
2025-12-14 2.276415 2.756535 3.395595 4.354480 5.856138 8.347323 13.538740
2025-12-21 2.206531 2.688255 3.336718 4.324384 5.904242 8.608118 14.549962
2025-12-28 2.154965 2.642259 3.306055 4.333316 6.014603 8.993003 15.950644
2026-01-04 2.123201 2.623881 3.316017 4.408784 6.250450 9.664142 18.341674
2026-01-11 2.088136 2.599401 3.315911 4.468730 6.467192 10.342009 21.110294
2026-01-18 2.042558 2.557726 3.287821 4.480969 6.599017 10.868851 23.748214
2026-01-25 1.980114 2.489340 3.216446 4.417341 6.584174 11.073603 25.460167
2026-02-01 1.910370 2.408001 3.122128 4.310021 6.477300 11.053454 26.368085
2026-02-08 1.856154 2.347352 3.056680 4.247191 6.449962 11.215553 28.112066
2026-02-15 1.827967 2.323502 3.046111 4.276059 6.603159 11.840616 32.343634
2026-02-22 1.797472 2.295064 3.026998 4.288622 6.724698 12.413821 37.009868
2026-03-01 1.735752 2.218644 2.930431 4.161054 6.549025 12.176837 37.138043
2026-03-08 1.683672 2.155277 2.852428 4.062828 6.427761 12.072995 38.047013
2026-03-15 1.650525 2.119156 2.815920 4.035967 6.453295 12.377618 41.867086